The report 2025 was released by Stockholm Environment Institute, Climate Analytics, and the International Institute for Sustainable Development.
The report highlights that governments worldwide plan to produce far more fossil fuels by 2030 than is compatible with limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
Governments plan to produce 120% more fossil fuels by 2030 than consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C.
Planned coal production will be 500% higher than climate-compatible levels by 2030, while oil production exceeds by 31% and gas by 92%.
Coal production is expected to rise through 2035, and gas production is projected to increase until 2050.
Of 20 major fossil-fuel-producing countries profiled, 17 plan to increase production of at least one fossil fuel by 2030.
13 countries anticipate significant increases in gas production despite climate goals.
Only 6 countries are developing production scenarios aligned with net zero targets; most continue inconsistent expansion plans.