TNPSC Thervupettagam

Solar PV Overcapacity Risk

September 4 , 2026 12 hrs 0 min 17 0
  • India’s solar photovoltaic (PV) module manufacturing capacity reached 233 gigawatts (GW) by June 2026, raising concerns about overcapacity and weak upstream manufacturing.
  • India had 233 GW of solar module capacity, but only about 35 GW of cell capacity and very limited ingot and wafer capacity, showing a major upstream gap.
  • Module factories were operating at only 35% to 40% utilisation, while another 135 GW of capacity was planned or under construction.
  • Data centres, green hydrogen and exports could add 17 GW to 22 GW of solar demand by 2030, but this may not absorb the expected surplus.
  • India exported about 4.5 GW of solar modules in Financial Year (FY) 2026, with nearly 97% going to the United States (US), creating high export dependence.
  • Small non-integrated manufacturers and those using older Passivated Emitter and Rear Cell (PERC) technology face higher risks, while Tunnel Oxide Passivated Contact (TOPCon) already accounts for over 70% of India’s module capacity.

 

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