The Southern Ocean surrounds Antarctica and covers about 25–30% of the global oceans.
It absorbs roughly 40% of human-emitted oceanic carbon dioxide.
Climate models predicted that stronger westerly winds and more greenhouse gases would bring carbon-rich deep water to the surface, releasing CO₂.
Observations since the 2000s show the ocean is absorbing more carbon, contrary to model predictions.
Freshwater from rainfall, sea ice transport, and glacial melt has strengthened surface stratification, trapping carbon-rich water 100–200 m below the surface.
Deep waters have risen about 40 metres since the 1990s, increasing subsurface CO₂ pressure by ~10 micro atmospheres.
The carbon sink may weaken if surface stratification thins, exposing deep CO₂-rich water to the atmosphere.