October 18 , 2026
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- The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) warned that El Niño could become one of the strongest events since 1950, peaking around December 2026.
- Sea surface temperature anomalies in the Niño 3.4 region of the equatorial Pacific Ocean are forecast to reach about +3.7°C above normal.
- El Niño may cause extreme heat, droughts and altered rainfall patterns, affecting India, Africa, Indonesia and parts of the Americas.
- Around 2.6 billion people may face unusually high temperatures and 1.3 billion people may be at risk from extreme rainfall through December 2026.
- WMO forecasts indicate a near-100% likelihood of El Niño persisting through February 2027, with weather impacts potentially continuing into spring.
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